Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.001843 0.001956 0.002074 0.002204 0.002345 0.002494 0.002662
2025-04-13 0.001647 0.001803 0.001971 0.002166 0.002386 0.002628 0.002916
2025-04-20 0.001480 0.001656 0.001852 0.002087 0.002361 0.002673 0.003058
2025-04-27 0.001406 0.001605 0.001831 0.002108 0.002442 0.002834 0.003335
2025-05-04 0.001361 0.001580 0.001834 0.002153 0.002548 0.003026 0.003656
2025-05-11 0.001333 0.001571 0.001853 0.002216 0.002676 0.003247 0.004024
2025-05-18 0.001288 0.001538 0.001839 0.002234 0.002745 0.003396 0.004304
2025-05-25 0.001221 0.001473 0.001781 0.002192 0.002734 0.003437 0.004441
2025-06-01 0.001169 0.001425 0.001742 0.002170 0.002745 0.003506 0.004617
2025-06-08 0.001138 0.001401 0.001732 0.002185 0.002805 0.003641 0.004891
2025-06-15 0.001096 0.001360 0.001696 0.002164 0.002813 0.003704 0.005064
2025-06-22 0.001060 0.001327 0.001670 0.002153 0.002833 0.003783 0.005264
2025-06-29 0.001013 0.001280 0.001626 0.002121 0.002829 0.003837 0.005445
2025-07-06 0.000968 0.001233 0.001581 0.002085 0.002817 0.003880 0.005612
2025-07-13 0.000912 0.001169 0.001511 0.002010 0.002745 0.003827 0.005624
2025-07-20 0.000893 0.001155 0.001507 0.002030 0.002813 0.003989 0.005992
2025-07-27 0.000883 0.001153 0.001520 0.002073 0.002917 0.004212 0.006479
2025-08-03 0.000879 0.001158 0.001544 0.002133 0.003049 0.004487 0.007079
2025-08-10 0.000861 0.001144 0.001539 0.002150 0.003114 0.004658 0.007510
2025-08-17 0.000828 0.001107 0.001498 0.002110 0.003087 0.004674 0.007661
2025-08-24 0.000803 0.001079 0.001471 0.002090 0.003090 0.004739 0.007906
2025-08-31 0.000789 0.001068 0.001467 0.002104 0.003149 0.004905 0.008357
2025-09-07 0.000766 0.001042 0.001441 0.002084 0.003151 0.004968 0.008612